Spain
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Spain: Poll by 40dB from 29.10.2019

Polling data

PSOE
27.3
-3.0
PP
21.2
-2.3
Vox
13.7
+5.1
UP
12.4
-1.6
Cs
8.3
-5.0
Comp
4.4
±0.0
Sonst.
12.7
+6.8
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.4
PP
-11.9
Vox
+1.3
UP
New
Cs
New
Comp
New
40dB – 2002 respondents – 23.10.2019-29.10.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 61% of election polls 40dB rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from 40dB shows the following results: PSOE 27.3%, Partido Popular 21.2%, Vox 13.7%, Unidos Podemos 12.4%, Ciudadanos 8.3% and Coalició Compromís 4.4%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by 40dB. For this purpose, 2002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (23.10.2019 - 29.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
50
Comp
17
PSOE
110
Cs
33
PP
85
Vox
55
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
195
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
173
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
160

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by 40dB. The survey took place between 23.10.2019 and 29.10.2019 among 2002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.3%, Partido Popular 21.2%, Vox 13.7%, Unidos Podemos 12.4%, Ciudadanos 8.3% and Coalició Compromís 4.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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