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Spain: Poll by Celeste-Tel from 31.10.2019

Polling data

PSOE
27.6
+0.4
PP
21.9
-0.3
UP
12.9
±0.0
Vox
12.0
+1.5
Cs
9.2
-0.8
ERC
3.9
-0.1
Comp
3.2
-1.2
PDeCAT
1.7
+0.1
PNV
1.6
±0.0
EH Bildu
1.0
±0.0
CC
0.8
+0.1
Others
4.2
0.0
Development since the last election on 10.11.2019
PSOE
-0.4
PP
+1.1
UP
±0.0
Vox
-3.1
Cs
+2.4
ERC
+0.3
Comp
PDeCAT
PNV
±0.0
EH Bildu
-0.1
CC
+0.3
Celeste-Tel – 1100 respondents – 25.10.2019-31.10.2019

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Celeste-Tel shows the following results: PSOE 27.6%, Partido Popular 21.9%, Unidos Podemos 12.9%, Vox 12%, Ciudadanos 9.2%, ERC 3.9%, Coalició Compromís 3.2%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1% and Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Ciudadanos might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. Vox, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Unidos Podemos. With 44.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Celeste-Tel. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (25.10.2019 - 31.10.2019).

Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2023.

Coalition possibilities

PSOE + Partido Popular
54.5
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 44.6% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Celeste-Tel. The survey took place between 25.10.2019 and 31.10.2019 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.6%, Partido Popular 21.9%, Unidos Podemos 12.9%, Vox 12%, Ciudadanos 9.2%, ERC 3.9%, Coalició Compromís 3.2%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1% and Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.8%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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