Spain
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Spain: Poll by Invymark from 31.10.2019

Polling data

PSOE
27.9
-0.7
PP
22.0
+0.3
UP
11.8
+0.3
Vox
10.5
+0.5
Cs
9.9
-0.7
Comp
3.8
-0.4
Sonst.
14.1
+0.7
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-3.8
PP
-11.1
UP
New
Vox
-1.9
Cs
New
Comp
New
Invymark – 1200 respondents – 28.10.2019-31.10.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Invymark shows the following results: PSOE 27.9%, Partido Popular 22%, Unidos Podemos 11.8%, Vox 10.5%, Ciudadanos 9.9% and Coalició Compromís 3.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with -1.9 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 32.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Invymark. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (28.10.2019 - 31.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
48
Comp
15
PSOE
114
Cs
40
PP
90
Vox
43
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
204
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
173
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
162

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Invymark. The survey took place between 28.10.2019 and 31.10.2019 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.9%, Partido Popular 22%, Unidos Podemos 11.8%, Vox 10.5%, Ciudadanos 9.9% and Coalició Compromís 3.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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