Spain: Poll by Hamalgama from 31.10.2019

Spain: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PSOE
27.2
+0.1
PP
22.2
-0.3
Vox
12.8
+0.7
UP
12.7
+0.1
Cs
8.8
-0.2
ERC
3.9
±0.0
Comp
3.7
-0.1
PDeCAT
1.6
+0.1
PNV
1.5
±0.0
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
CC
0.7
+0.1
Others
3.9
-0.5
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.5
PP
-10.9
Vox
+0.4
UP
New
Cs
New
ERC
+2.0
Comp
New
PDeCAT
New
PNV
+0.4
Bildu
-0.4
CC
+0.2
Hamalgama – 1000 respondents – 29.10.2019-31.10.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular higher

In 86% of election polls, Hamalgama rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 43% of election polls Hamalgama rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from Hamalgama shows the following results: PSOE 27.2%, Partido Popular 22.2%, Vox 12.8%, Unidos Podemos 12.7%, Ciudadanos 8.8%, ERC 3.9%, Coalició Compromís 3.7%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1% and Coalición Canaria 0.7%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Hamalgama. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (29.10.2019 - 31.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
49
14%
Comp
14
4%
PSOE
105
30%
ERC
15
4.3%
Cs
33
9.4%
PP
85
24.3%
Vox
49
14%
PSOE + Partido Popular
54.3%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
48.3%
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
47.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Hamalgama. The survey took place between 29.10.2019 and 31.10.2019 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.2%, Partido Popular 22.2%, Vox 12.8%, Unidos Podemos 12.7%, Ciudadanos 8.8%, ERC 3.9%, Coalició Compromís 3.7%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1% and Coalición Canaria 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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