Spain
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Spain: Poll by Demoscopia y Servicios from 02.11.2019

Polling data

PSOE
27.3
-4.5
PP
22.1
+1.5
UP
12.8
+0.1
Vox
12.7
+5.7
Cs
9.2
-4.8
Comp
3.8
±0.0
Sonst.
12.1
+2.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.4
PP
-11.0
UP
New
Vox
+0.3
Cs
New
Comp
New
Demoscopia y Servicios – 1000 respondents – 30.10.2019-02.11.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular higher

In 36% of election polls, Demoscopia y Servicios rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 50% of election polls Demoscopia y Servicios rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Demoscopia y Servicios shows the following results: PSOE 27.3%, Partido Popular 22.1%, Unidos Podemos 12.8%, Vox 12.7%, Ciudadanos 9.2% and Coalició Compromís 3.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.3 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Demoscopia y Servicios. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.10.2019 - 02.11.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
51
Comp
15
PSOE
109
Cs
37
PP
88
Vox
50
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
197
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
175
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
160

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Demoscopia y Servicios. The survey took place between 30.10.2019 and 02.11.2019 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.3%, Partido Popular 22.1%, Unidos Podemos 12.8%, Vox 12.7%, Ciudadanos 9.2% and Coalició Compromís 3.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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