Spain: Poll by Metroscopia from 29.01.2020

Polling data

PSOE
26.8
-4.2
PP
20.5
+1.5
Vox
15.3
+7.3
UP
13.3
+0.3
Cs
6.1
-6.9
Comp
2.7
±0.0
Others
15.3
+2.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.9
PP
-12.6
Vox
+2.9
UP
New
Cs
New
Comp
New
Metroscopia – 4237 respondents – 13.01.2020-29.01.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher

In 32% of election polls, Metroscopia rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 47% of election polls Metroscopia rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 42% of election polls Metroscopia rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 50% of election polls, Metroscopia rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Metroscopia shows the following results: PSOE 26.8%, Partido Popular 20.5%, Vox 15.3%, Unidos Podemos 13.3%, Ciudadanos 6.1% and Coalició Compromís 2.7%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 32.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Metroscopia. For this purpose, 4237 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 16 days (13.01.2020 - 29.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
57
16.2%
PSOE
115
32.7%
Cs
26
7.4%
PP
87
25%
Vox
65
18.7%
PSOE + Partido Popular
57.7%
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
51.1%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
48.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Metroscopia. The survey took place between 13.01.2020 and 29.01.2020 among 4237 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 26.8%, Partido Popular 20.5%, Vox 15.3%, Unidos Podemos 13.3%, Ciudadanos 6.1% and Coalició Compromís 2.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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