Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by CIS from 10.09.2022

Polling data

PSOE
29.2
+29.2
PP
28.5
+28.5
UP
12.8
+12.8
Vox
10.3
+10.3
Cs
2.8
+2.8
ERC
2.4
+2.4
MP
1.9
+1.9
JxC
1.4
+1.4
PNV
1.0
+1.0
CUP
0.8
+0.8
Bildu
0.7
+0.7
NA+
0.6
+0.6
BNG
0.5
+0.5
TE
0.1
+0.1
CC
0.1
+0.1
PRC
0.1
+0.1
Sonst.
6.8
-93.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-2.5
PP
-4.6
UP
Vox
-2.1
Cs
ERC
+0.5
MP
JxC
-0.2
PNV
-0.1
CUP
+0.4
Bildu
-0.7
NA+
BNG
-0.1
TE
CC
-0.4
PRC
CIS – 3857 respondents – 01.09.2022-10.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher
In 30% of election polls, CIS rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 76% of election polls CIS rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 90% of election polls, CIS rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Unidos Podemos higher
In 39% of election polls, CIS rates Unidos Podemos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 80% of election polls CIS rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from CIS shows the following results: PSOE 29.2%, Partido Popular 28.5%, Unidos Podemos 12.8%, Vox 10.3%, Ciudadanos 2.8%, ERC 2.4%, Más País 1.9%, Junts per Catalunya 1.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, CUP 0.8%, EH Bildu 0.7%, Navarra Suma 0.6%, Galego 0.5%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%, Coalición Canaria 0.1% and PRC 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.5 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 36.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CIS. For this purpose, 3857 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (01.09.2022 - 10.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
55
PSOE
127
PP
124
Vox
44
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
251
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
182
Partido Popular + Vox
168

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by CIS. The survey took place between 01.09.2022 and 10.09.2022 among 3857 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 29.2%, Partido Popular 28.5%, Unidos Podemos 12.8%, Vox 10.3%, Ciudadanos 2.8%, ERC 2.4%, Más País 1.9%, Junts per Catalunya 1.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, CUP 0.8%, EH Bildu 0.7%, Navarra Suma 0.6%, Galego 0.5%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%, Coalición Canaria 0.1% and PRC 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.