Spain: Poll by GAD3 from 22.09.2022

Polling data

PP
34.8
-0.2
PSOE
26.2
+1.8
Vox
12.6
-1.2
UP
9.4
-0.3
ERC
2.7
-0.4
JxC
1.9
-0.2
PNV
1.6
±0.0
MP
1.4
-1.0
Cs
1.3
+0.1
Bildu
1.2
±0.0
CUP
1.0
+0.1
BNG
0.9
+0.3
CC
0.5
+0.1
PRC
0.2
±0.0
TE
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
4.2
+0.9
GAD3 – 1009 respondents – 19.09.2022-22.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 55% of election polls, GAD3 rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 37% of election polls, GAD3 rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Unidos Podemos lower
In 55% of election polls GAD3 rates Unidos Podemos lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 35% of election polls GAD3 rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from GAD3 shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.8%, PSOE 26.2%, Vox 12.6%, Unidos Podemos 9.4%, ERC 2.7%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, Más País 1.4%, Ciudadanos 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, CUP 1%, Galego 0.9%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GAD3. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (19.09.2022 - 22.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
39
PSOE
111
PP
147
Vox
53
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
258
Partido Popular + Vox
200
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
150

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by GAD3. The survey took place between 19.09.2022 and 22.09.2022 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.8%, PSOE 26.2%, Vox 12.6%, Unidos Podemos 9.4%, ERC 2.7%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, Más País 1.4%, Ciudadanos 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, CUP 1%, Galego 0.9%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.