Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Sigma Dos from 29.09.2022

Polling data

PP
31.9
+0.8
PSOE
25.6
+0.8
Vox
14.1
-0.2
UP
10.2
-0.6
ERC
3.6
±0.0
MP
2.6
-0.9
Cs
2.3
+0.4
JxC
2.0
-0.1
PNV
1.7
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
-0.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-1.2
PSOE
-6.1
Vox
+1.7
UP
ERC
+1.7
MP
Cs
JxC
+0.4
PNV
+0.6
Sigma Dos – 1541 respondents – 26.09.2022-29.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 31% of election polls, Sigma Dos rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Sigma Dos shows the following results: Partido Popular 31.9%, PSOE 25.6%, Vox 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 10.2%, ERC 3.6%, Más País 2.6%, Ciudadanos 2.3%, Junts per Catalunya 2% and Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.7%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Sigma Dos. For this purpose, 1541 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (26.09.2022 - 29.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
41
PSOE
105
ERC
14
PP
132
Vox
58
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
237
Partido Popular + Vox
190
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
160

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Sigma Dos. The survey took place between 26.09.2022 and 29.09.2022 among 1541 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 31.9%, PSOE 25.6%, Vox 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 10.2%, ERC 3.6%, Más País 2.6%, Ciudadanos 2.3%, Junts per Catalunya 2% and Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.