Spain: Poll by NC Report from 14.10.2022

Polling data

PP
34.1
+1.9
PSOE
24.0
-0.5
Vox
12.9
-1.5
UP
9.7
±0.0
MP
3.5
+0.5
ERC
3.3
±0.0
JxC
2.2
+0.1
Cs
1.5
-0.5
PNV
1.5
±0.0
Bildu
1.3
+0.1
NA+
0.3
±0.0
Sonst.
5.7
-0.1
NC Report – 1000 respondents – 10.10.2022-14.10.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 82% of election polls, NC Report rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from NC Report shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.1%, PSOE 24%, Vox 12.9%, Unidos Podemos 9.7%, Más País 3.5%, ERC 3.3%, Junts per Catalunya 2.2%, Ciudadanos 1.5%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.3% and Navarra Suma 0.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 27.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NC Report. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (10.10.2022 - 14.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
39
MP
14
PSOE
96
ERC
13
PP
137
Vox
51
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
233
Partido Popular + Vox
188
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + Más País + ERC

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by NC Report. The survey took place between 10.10.2022 and 14.10.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.1%, PSOE 24%, Vox 12.9%, Unidos Podemos 9.7%, Más País 3.5%, ERC 3.3%, Junts per Catalunya 2.2%, Ciudadanos 1.5%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.3% and Navarra Suma 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.