Spain: Poll by IMOP from 04.11.2022

Polling data

PP
30.3
+0.3
PSOE
26.8
±0.0
Vox
15.9
+0.1
UP
11.3
-0.3
ERC
2.8
-0.2
MP
2.0
-0.1
JxC
1.5
±0.0
PNV
1.5
±0.0
Cs
1.5
+1.5
EH Bildu
1.2
±0.0
BNG
0.9
-0.1
CUP
0.8
±0.0
CC
0.3
±0.0
NA+
0.3
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
TE
0.1
±0.0
Others
2.6
0.0
IMOP – 1315 respondents – 24.10.2022-04.11.2022
Institute often rates Ciudadanos lower
In 34% of election polls IMOP rates Ciudadanos lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 31% of election polls IMOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 44% of election polls, IMOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2023.

Coalition possibilities

Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7
Partido Popular + Vox
54.8


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 45.2% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by IMOP. The survey took place between 24.10.2022 and 04.11.2022 among 1315 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 30.3%, PSOE 26.8%, Vox 15.9%, Unidos Podemos 11.3%, ERC 2.8%, Más País 2%, Junts per Catalunya 1.5%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, Ciudadanos 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.2%, Galego 0.9%, CUP 0.8%, Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3%, Navarra Suma 0.3%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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