Spain: Poll by IMOP from 20.11.2022

Spain: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
29.3
-1.0
PSOE
26.1
-0.7
Vox
16.7
+0.8
UP
11.4
+0.1
ERC
3.0
+0.2
MP
2.3
+0.3
Cs
1.7
+0.2
PNV
1.6
+0.1
Bildu
1.1
-0.1
BNG
1.0
+0.1
CUP
0.8
±0.0
CC
0.4
+0.1
NA+
0.3
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
TE
0.1
±0.0
Others
4.0
-0.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-3.8
PSOE
-5.6
Vox
+4.3
UP
+11.4
ERC
+1.1
MP
+2.3
Cs
+1.7
PNV
+0.5
Bildu
-0.3
BNG
+0.4
CUP
+0.4
CC
-0.1
NA+
+0.3
PRC
+0.2
TE
+0.1
IMOP – 1309 respondents – 07.11.2022-20.11.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 33% of election polls IMOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 45% of election polls, IMOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from IMOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 29.3%, PSOE 26.1%, Vox 16.7%, Unidos Podemos 11.4%, ERC 3%, Más País 2.3%, Ciudadanos 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.1%, Galego 1%, CUP 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.3%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Unidos Podemos might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IMOP. For this purpose, 1309 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (07.11.2022 - 20.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
46
13.1%
PSOE
106
30.3%
ERC
12
3.4%
PP
119
34%
Vox
67
19.1%
Partido Popular + PSOE
64.3%
Partido Popular + Vox
53.1%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
46.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by IMOP. The survey took place between 07.11.2022 and 20.11.2022 among 1309 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 29.3%, PSOE 26.1%, Vox 16.7%, Unidos Podemos 11.4%, ERC 3%, Más País 2.3%, Ciudadanos 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.1%, Galego 1%, CUP 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.3%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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