Upcoming elections:

Spain: Poll by IMOP from 16.12.2022

Polling data

PP
29.4
-1.1
PSOE
27.2
+1.5
Vox
16.8
+0.8
UP
9.8
-1.8
ERC
3.2
+3.2
MP
2.2
+0.3
PNV
1.6
+1.6
JxC
1.6
+1.6
Cs
1.3
±0.0
Bildu
1.3
+1.3
BNG
1.0
+1.0
CUP
0.8
+0.8
CC
0.4
+0.4
NA+
0.3
+0.3
PRC
0.2
+0.2
TE
0.1
+0.1
Sonst.
2.8
-10.2
IMOP – 1297 respondents – 05.12.2022-16.12.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 33% of election polls IMOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 45% of election polls, IMOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from IMOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 29.4%, PSOE 27.2%, Vox 16.8%, Unidos Podemos 9.8%, ERC 3.2%, Más País 2.2%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, Junts per Catalunya 1.6%, Ciudadanos 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Galego 1%, CUP 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.3%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IMOP. For this purpose, 1297 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (05.12.2022 - 16.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
39
PSOE
111
ERC
13
PP
119
Vox
68
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
230
Partido Popular + Vox
187
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
163

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by IMOP. The survey took place between 05.12.2022 and 16.12.2022 among 1297 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 29.4%, PSOE 27.2%, Vox 16.8%, Unidos Podemos 9.8%, ERC 3.2%, Más País 2.2%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, Junts per Catalunya 1.6%, Ciudadanos 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Galego 1%, CUP 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.3%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.