Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Ágora Integral from 16.01.2023

Polling data

PP
32.3
-0.6
PSOE
25.9
+1.0
Vox
15.0
+0.7
UP
11.7
-0.1
ERC
3.7
+0.2
MP
2.2
-0.5
JxC
1.7
-0.3
PNV
1.6
±0.0
Bildu
1.1
-0.1
CUP
1.0
-0.1
Cs
0.7
+0.2
CC
0.4
-0.1
BNG
0.4
±0.0
NA+
0.4
+0.1
PRC
0.3
±0.0
TE
0.1
+0.1
Sonst.
1.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-0.8
PSOE
-5.8
Vox
+2.6
UP
ERC
+1.8
MP
JxC
+0.1
PNV
+0.5
Bildu
-0.3
CUP
+0.6
Cs
CC
-0.1
BNG
-0.2
NA+
PRC
TE
Ágora Integral – 1000 respondents – 16.01.2023-16.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Ágora Integral shows the following results: Partido Popular 32.3%, PSOE 25.9%, Vox 15%, Unidos Podemos 11.7%, ERC 3.7%, Más País 2.2%, Junts per Catalunya 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.1%, CUP 1%, Ciudadanos 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Galego 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, PRC 0.3% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 29.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ágora Integral. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (16.01.2023 - 16.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
46
PSOE
103
ERC
14
PP
128
Vox
59
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
231
Partido Popular + Vox
187
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
163

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Ágora Integral. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 16.01.2023 1000. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 32.3%, PSOE 25.9%, Vox 15%, Unidos Podemos 11.7%, ERC 3.7%, Más País 2.2%, Junts per Catalunya 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.1%, CUP 1%, Ciudadanos 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Galego 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, PRC 0.3% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.