Spain: Poll by Metroscopia from 19.12.2022

Polling data

PP
29.5
+0.3
PSOE
26.0
-0.3
Vox
16.1
-1.5
UP
11.4
+0.8
ERC
2.9
+2.9
MP
2.4
-0.1
JxC
1.9
+1.9
PNV
1.4
+1.4
Cs
1.1
±0.0
CUP
1.0
+1.0
Bildu
1.0
+1.0
BNG
0.7
+0.7
CC
0.4
+0.4
NA+
0.4
+0.4
TE
0.1
+0.1
PRC
0.1
+0.1
Others
3.6
-9.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-3.6
PSOE
-5.7
Vox
+3.7
UP
New
ERC
+1.0
MP
New
JxC
+0.3
PNV
+0.3
Cs
New
CUP
+0.6
Bildu
-0.4
BNG
+0.1
CC
-0.1
NA+
New
TE
New
PRC
New
Metroscopia – 5000 respondents – 29.11.2022-19.12.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher

In 32% of election polls, Metroscopia rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 47% of election polls Metroscopia rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 42% of election polls Metroscopia rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 50% of election polls, Metroscopia rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Metroscopia shows the following results: Partido Popular 29.5%, PSOE 26%, Vox 16.1%, Unidos Podemos 11.4%, ERC 2.9%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, Ciudadanos 1.1%, CUP 1%, EH Bildu 1%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1% and PRC 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Metroscopia. For this purpose, 5000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 20 days (29.11.2022 - 19.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
48
13.7%
PSOE
110
31.3%
PP
124
35.5%
Vox
68
19.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
66.8%
Partido Popular + Vox
54.9%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
45%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Metroscopia. The survey took place between 29.11.2022 and 19.12.2022 among 5000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 29.5%, PSOE 26%, Vox 16.1%, Unidos Podemos 11.4%, ERC 2.9%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, Ciudadanos 1.1%, CUP 1%, EH Bildu 1%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1% and PRC 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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