Upcoming elections:

Spain: Poll by Celeste-Tel from 20.01.2023

Polling data

PP
32.4
+0.1
PSOE
24.9
-0.2
Vox
14.6
+0.6
UP
10.4
-0.1
ERC
3.3
±0.0
MP
3.0
+0.1
JxC
2.1
±0.0
Cs
2.0
-0.3
PNV
1.5
-0.1
Bildu
1.3
±0.0
CUP
0.9
-0.1
BNG
0.8
±0.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
UPN
0.2
+0.2
TE
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
1.8
-0.2
Celeste-Tel – 1100 respondents – 12.01.2023-20.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 63% of election polls, Celeste-Tel rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 40% of election polls Celeste-Tel rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Celeste-Tel shows the following results: Partido Popular 32.4%, PSOE 24.9%, Vox 14.6%, Unidos Podemos 10.4%, ERC 3.3%, Más País 3%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Ciudadanos 2%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.3%, CUP 0.9%, Galego 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, PRC 0.2%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 28.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Celeste-Tel. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (12.01.2023 - 20.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
41
MP
11
PSOE
99
ERC
13
PP
128
Vox
58
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
227
Partido Popular + Vox
186
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC + Más País

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Celeste-Tel. The survey took place between 12.01.2023 and 20.01.2023 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 32.4%, PSOE 24.9%, Vox 14.6%, Unidos Podemos 10.4%, ERC 3.3%, Más País 3%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Ciudadanos 2%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.3%, CUP 0.9%, Galego 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, PRC 0.2%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.