Upcoming elections:

Spain: Poll by Data10 from 26.01.2023

Polling data

PP
31.3
+0.2
PSOE
25.0
+0.4
Vox
15.8
-0.4
UP
10.6
±0.0
ERC
2.9
±0.0
MP
2.4
-0.1
JxC
2.1
±0.0
Cs
1.7
-0.1
PNV
1.6
+0.1
Bildu
1.5
+1.5
CUP
0.8
-0.1
BNG
0.8
±0.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
NA+
0.4
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
TE
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
2.3
-1.5
Data10 – 1500 respondents – 24.01.2023-26.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 38% of election polls, Data10 rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 86% of election polls Data10 rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 66% of election polls, Data10 rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Data10 shows the following results: Partido Popular 31.3%, PSOE 25%, Vox 15.8%, Unidos Podemos 10.6%, ERC 2.9%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Ciudadanos 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.5%, CUP 0.8%, Galego 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Data10. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (24.01.2023 - 26.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
45
PSOE
106
PP
132
Vox
67
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
238
Partido Popular + Vox
199
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
151

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Data10. The survey took place between 24.01.2023 and 26.01.2023 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 31.3%, PSOE 25%, Vox 15.8%, Unidos Podemos 10.6%, ERC 2.9%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Ciudadanos 1.7%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.5%, CUP 0.8%, Galego 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, PRC 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.