Upcoming elections:

Spain: Poll by GAD3 from 22.02.2023

Polling data

PP
33.9
+0.7
PSOE
26.9
+1.0
Vox
13.4
-1.9
UP
9.6
-0.5
ERC
2.4
-0.2
MP
2.4
+0.8
JxC
1.7
-0.3
Cs
1.4
+0.4
PNV
1.4
+0.1
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
CUP
0.8
+0.1
BNG
0.7
+0.1
CC
0.5
+0.1
PRC
0.2
±0.0
UPN
0.2
±0.0
TE
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
3.4
-0.4
GAD3 – 1001 respondents – 20.02.2023-22.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 54% of election polls, GAD3 rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 36% of election polls, GAD3 rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Unidos Podemos lower
In 55% of election polls GAD3 rates Unidos Podemos lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 34% of election polls GAD3 rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from GAD3 shows the following results: Partido Popular 33.9%, PSOE 26.9%, Vox 13.4%, Unidos Podemos 9.6%, ERC 2.4%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.7%, Ciudadanos 1.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, EH Bildu 1%, CUP 0.8%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, PRC 0.2%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.0 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 32.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GAD3. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (20.02.2023 - 22.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
40
PSOE
112
PP
142
Vox
56
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
254
Partido Popular + Vox
198
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
152

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by GAD3. The survey took place between 20.02.2023 and 22.02.2023 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 33.9%, PSOE 26.9%, Vox 13.4%, Unidos Podemos 9.6%, ERC 2.4%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.7%, Ciudadanos 1.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, EH Bildu 1%, CUP 0.8%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, PRC 0.2%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.