Spain: Poll by SocioMétrica from 03.03.2023

Polling data

PP
31.6
+0.5
PSOE
25.0
-0.4
Vox
15.0
±0.0
UP
11.2
+0.4
ERC
2.5
-0.2
MP
2.5
-0.2
Cs
2.1
+0.3
JxC
1.8
-0.1
PNV
1.4
±0.0
Bildu
1.1
±0.0
EV
0.8
-0.1
CUP
0.7
-0.1
BNG
0.5
-0.1
NA+
0.4
+0.1
CC
0.3
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
Others
2.9
-0.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-1.5
PSOE
-6.7
Vox
+2.6
UP
New
ERC
+0.6
MP
New
Cs
New
JxC
+0.2
PNV
+0.3
Bildu
-0.3
EV
New
CUP
+0.3
BNG
-0.1
NA+
New
CC
-0.2
PRC
New
SocioMétrica – 900 respondents – 28.02.2023-03.03.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 42% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 45% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from SocioMétrica shows the following results: Partido Popular 31.6%, PSOE 25%, Vox 15%, Unidos Podemos 11.2%, ERC 2.5%, Más País 2.5%, Ciudadanos 2.1%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, EH Bildu 1.1%, EV 0.8%, CUP 0.7%, Galego 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and PRC 0.2%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SocioMétrica. For this purpose, 900 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (28.02.2023 - 03.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
47
13.4%
PSOE
106
30.3%
PP
134
38.3%
Vox
63
18%
Partido Popular + PSOE
68.6%
Partido Popular + Vox
56.3%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
43.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by SocioMétrica. The survey took place between 28.02.2023 and 03.03.2023 among 900 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 31.6%, PSOE 25%, Vox 15%, Unidos Podemos 11.2%, ERC 2.5%, Más País 2.5%, Ciudadanos 2.1%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, EH Bildu 1.1%, EV 0.8%, CUP 0.7%, Galego 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and PRC 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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