Spain: Poll by IMOP from 30.05.2023

Spain: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
34.4
+5.0
PSOE
24.6
-2.6
Vox
16.3
-0.5
Sumar
10.2
+10.2
ERC
2.5
-0.7
JxC
1.8
+0.2
PNV
1.5
-0.1
Bildu
1.3
±0.0
BNG
1.0
±0.0
CUP
0.6
-0.2
CC
0.3
-0.1
Cs
0.2
-1.1
Others
5.3
-10.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+1.3
PSOE
-7.1
Vox
+3.9
Sumar
-2.1
ERC
+0.6
JxC
+0.2
PNV
+0.4
Bildu
-0.1
BNG
+0.4
CUP
+0.2
CC
-0.2
Cs
New
IMOP – 914 respondents – 29.05.2023-30.05.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 33% of election polls IMOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 45% of election polls, IMOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from IMOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.4%, PSOE 24.6%, Vox 16.3%, Sumar 10.2%, ERC 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Galego 1%, CUP 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and Ciudadanos 0.2%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 40.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IMOP. For this purpose, 914 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (29.05.2023 - 30.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
41
11.7%
PSOE
101
28.9%
PP
141
40.3%
Vox
67
19.1%
Partido Popular + PSOE
69.1%
Partido Popular + Vox
59.4%
PSOE + Sumar
40.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by IMOP. The survey took place between 29.05.2023 and 30.05.2023 among 914 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.4%, PSOE 24.6%, Vox 16.3%, Sumar 10.2%, ERC 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Galego 1%, CUP 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and Ciudadanos 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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