Spain
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Spain: Poll by SocioMétrica from 25.06.2023

Polling data

PP
32.1
-0.5
PSOE
25.5
+0.1
Vox
14.7
-0.1
Sumar
13.5
+0.6
ERC
2.5
+0.1
JxC
2.3
-0.2
Bildu
1.8
+0.2
PNV
1.5
±0.0
CUP
0.7
-0.1
BNG
0.7
-0.1
Sonst.
4.7
0.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-1.0
PSOE
-6.2
Vox
+2.3
Sumar
+1.2
ERC
+0.6
JxC
+0.7
Bildu
+0.4
PNV
+0.4
CUP
+0.3
BNG
+0.1
SocioMétrica – 1200 respondents – 25.06.2023-25.06.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 44% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 45% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from SocioMétrica shows the following results: Partido Popular 32.1%, PSOE 25.5%, Vox 14.7%, Sumar 13.5%, ERC 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.3%, EH Bildu 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, CUP 0.7% and Galego 0.7%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SocioMétrica. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (25.06.2023 - 25.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
55
PSOE
104
PP
131
Vox
60
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
235
Partido Popular + Vox
191
PSOE + Sumar
159

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by SocioMétrica. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 25.06.2023 1200. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 32.1%, PSOE 25.5%, Vox 14.7%, Sumar 13.5%, ERC 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.3%, EH Bildu 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, CUP 0.7% and Galego 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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