Spain: Poll by IMOP from 29.06.2023

Polling data

PP
32.6
-0.7
PSOE
26.2
+1.7
Vox
15.3
+0.4
Sumar
13.3
-1.7
ERC
2.6
+0.3
JxC
2.1
-0.1
PNV
1.4
±0.0
Bildu
1.3
+0.1
EV
1.0
+0.8
CUP
0.8
+0.1
UPN
0.4
+0.1
CC
0.3
±0.0
Others
2.7
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-0.5
PSOE
-5.5
Vox
+2.9
Sumar
+1.0
ERC
+0.7
JxC
+0.5
PNV
+0.3
Bildu
-0.1
EV
New
CUP
+0.4
UPN
+0.2
CC
-0.2
IMOP – 1043 respondents – 27.06.2023-29.06.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 33% of election polls IMOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 45% of election polls, IMOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from IMOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 32.6%, PSOE 26.2%, Vox 15.3%, Sumar 13.3%, ERC 2.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, EH Bildu 1.3%, EV 1%, CUP 0.8%, UPN 0.4% and Coalición Canaria 0.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 45.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IMOP. For this purpose, 1043 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.06.2023 - 29.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
53
15.2%
PSOE
105
30%
PP
131
37.3%
Vox
61
17.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.4%
Partido Popular + Vox
54.9%
PSOE + Sumar
45.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by IMOP. The survey took place between 27.06.2023 and 29.06.2023 among 1043 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 32.6%, PSOE 26.2%, Vox 15.3%, Sumar 13.3%, ERC 2.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, EH Bildu 1.3%, EV 1%, CUP 0.8%, UPN 0.4% and Coalición Canaria 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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