Spain: Poll by Data10 from 29.06.2023

Polling data

PP
34.2
-0.2
PSOE
24.5
+0.5
Vox
14.6
-0.3
Sumar
13.4
+0.3
ERC
2.6
±0.0
JxC
2.4
±0.0
PNV
1.6
+0.1
Bildu
1.4
±0.0
BNG
1.0
-0.1
CC
0.4
±0.0
UPN
0.2
-0.1
TE
0.1
±0.0
Others
3.6
-0.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+1.1
PSOE
-7.2
Vox
+2.2
Sumar
+1.1
ERC
+0.7
JxC
+0.8
PNV
+0.5
Bildu
±0.0
BNG
+0.4
CC
-0.1
UPN
±0.0
TE
New
Data10 – 1500 respondents – 28.06.2023-29.06.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular higher

In 38% of election polls, Data10 rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 86% of election polls Data10 rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 66% of election polls, Data10 rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from Data10 shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.2%, PSOE 24.5%, Vox 14.6%, Sumar 13.4%, ERC 2.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.4%, Galego 1%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 43.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Data10. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (28.06.2023 - 29.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
54
15.4%
PSOE
99
28.3%
PP
138
39.4%
Vox
59
16.9%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
Partido Popular + Vox
56.3%
PSOE + Sumar
43.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Data10. The survey took place between 28.06.2023 and 29.06.2023 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.2%, PSOE 24.5%, Vox 14.6%, Sumar 13.4%, ERC 2.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.4%, Galego 1%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, UPN 0.2% and ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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