Spain: Poll by YouGov from 06.07.2023

Polling data

PP
31.0
±0.0
PSOE
28.0
±0.0
Vox
14.0
±0.0
Sumar
14.0
±0.0
ERC
2.0
±0.0
JxC
2.0
±0.0
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
PNV
1.0
±0.0
BNG
1.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-2.1
PSOE
-3.7
Vox
+1.6
Sumar
+1.7
ERC
+0.1
JxC
+0.4
Bildu
-0.4
PNV
-0.1
BNG
+0.4
YouGov – 10480 respondents – 29.06.2023-06.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from YouGov shows the following results: Partido Popular 31%, PSOE 28%, Vox 14%, Sumar 14%, ERC 2%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, EH Bildu 1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1% and Galego 1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Sumar might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 48.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 10480 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (29.06.2023 - 06.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
56
16%
PSOE
113
32.3%
PP
125
35.7%
Vox
56
16%
Partido Popular + PSOE
68.0%
Partido Popular + Vox
51.7%
PSOE + Sumar
48.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 29.06.2023 and 06.07.2023 among 10480 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 31%, PSOE 28%, Vox 14%, Sumar 14%, ERC 2%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, EH Bildu 1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1% and Galego 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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