Spain
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Spain: Poll by Ipsos from 06.07.2023

Polling data

PP
35.3
+15.9
PSOE
28.2
+2.2
Sumar
12.9
+12.9
Vox
12.6
-1.4
JxC
1.8
+1.8
ERC
1.6
-1.9
Bildu
1.3
+1.3
PNV
1.2
-0.3
BNG
0.6
+0.6
CC
0.3
+0.3
EV
0.3
+0.3
Sonst.
3.9
-31.7
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+2.2
PSOE
-3.5
Sumar
+0.6
Vox
+0.2
JxC
+0.2
ERC
-0.3
Bildu
-0.1
PNV
+0.1
BNG
±0.0
CC
-0.2
EV
New
Ipsos – 2001 respondents – 03.07.2023-06.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Ipsos shows the following results: Partido Popular 35.3%, PSOE 28.2%, Sumar 12.9%, Vox 12.6%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, ERC 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2%, Galego 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and EV 0.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 46.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 2001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (03.07.2023 - 06.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
51
PSOE
111
PP
139
Vox
49
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
250
Partido Popular + Vox
188
PSOE + Sumar
162

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 03.07.2023 and 06.07.2023 among 2001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 35.3%, PSOE 28.2%, Sumar 12.9%, Vox 12.6%, Junts per Catalunya 1.8%, ERC 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2%, Galego 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and EV 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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