Spain: Poll by Cluster17 from 14.07.2023

Polling data

PP
33.6
±0.0
PSOE
28.9
±0.0
Vox
13.7
±0.0
Sumar
13.5
±0.0
ERC
2.3
±0.0
JxC
2.3
±0.0
Bildu
1.3
±0.0
PNV
1.1
±0.0
BNG
0.8
±0.0
CUP
0.7
±0.0
EV
0.5
±0.0
CC
0.3
±0.0
UPN
0.3
±0.0
Others
0.7
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+0.5
PSOE
-2.8
Vox
+1.3
Sumar
+1.2
ERC
+0.4
JxC
+0.7
Bildu
-0.1
PNV
±0.0
BNG
+0.2
CUP
+0.3
EV
New
CC
-0.2
UPN
+0.1
Cluster17 – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 12.07.2023-14.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Cluster17 shows the following results: Partido Popular 33.6%, PSOE 28.9%, Vox 13.7%, Sumar 13.5%, ERC 2.3%, Junts per Catalunya 2.3%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.1%, Galego 0.8%, CUP 0.7%, EV 0.5%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and UPN 0.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 47.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (12.07.2023 - 14.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
53
15.1%
PSOE
113
32.2%
PP
131
37.5%
Vox
53
15.3%
Partido Popular + PSOE
69.7%
Partido Popular + Vox
52.6%
PSOE + Sumar
47.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Cluster17. The poll took place between 12.07.2023 and 14.07.2023. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 33.6%, PSOE 28.9%, Vox 13.7%, Sumar 13.5%, ERC 2.3%, Junts per Catalunya 2.3%, EH Bildu 1.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.1%, Galego 0.8%, CUP 0.7%, EV 0.5%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and UPN 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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