Spain: Poll by Simple Lógica from 07.08.2023

Polling data

PP
31.9
-2.2
PSOE
31.2
+3.3
Vox
12.9
-1.2
Sumar
12.7
-0.1
Others
11.3
+0.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-1.2
PSOE
-0.5
Vox
+0.5
Sumar
+0.4
Simple Lógica – 1098 respondents – 31.07.2023-07.08.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 55% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 30% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Simple Lógica shows the following results: Partido Popular 31.9%, PSOE 31.2%, Vox 12.9% and Sumar 12.7%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.5 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 49.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Simple Lógica. For this purpose, 1098 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (31.07.2023 - 07.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
50
14.3%
PSOE
123
35.2%
PP
126
36%
Vox
51
14.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
71.1%
Partido Popular + Vox
50.6%
PSOE + Sumar
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Simple Lógica. The survey took place between 31.07.2023 and 07.08.2023 among 1098 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 31.9%, PSOE 31.2%, Vox 12.9% and Sumar 12.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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