Upcoming elections:

Spain: Poll by 40dB from 02.10.2023

Polling data

PP
34.2
+0.4
PSOE
32.1
-0.2
Vox
11.7
+0.8
Sumar
11.1
-0.9
Sonst.
10.9
-0.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
40dB – 2000 respondents – 29.09.2023-02.10.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 62% of election polls 40dB rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from 40dB shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.2%, PSOE 32.1%, Vox 11.7% and Sumar 11.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. Sumar, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 48.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by 40dB. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (29.09.2023 - 02.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
43
PSOE
126
PP
135
Vox
46
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
261
Partido Popular + Vox
181
PSOE + Sumar
169

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by 40dB. The survey took place between 29.09.2023 and 02.10.2023 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.2%, PSOE 32.1%, Vox 11.7% and Sumar 11.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.