Upcoming elections:

Spain: Poll by Target Point from 04.10.2023

Polling data

PP
34.5
+2.8
PSOE
30.8
+5.5
Vox
11.9
-3.6
Sumar
11.8
+11.8
Sonst.
11.0
-16.5
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
Target Point – 1003 respondents – 02.10.2023-04.10.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 45% of election polls Target Point rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 36% of election polls, Target Point rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Target Point shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.5%, PSOE 30.8%, Vox 11.9% and Sumar 11.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 47.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Target Point. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (02.10.2023 - 04.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
46
PSOE
121
PP
136
Vox
47
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
257
Partido Popular + Vox
183
PSOE + Sumar
167

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Target Point. The survey took place between 02.10.2023 and 04.10.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.5%, PSOE 30.8%, Vox 11.9% and Sumar 11.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.