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Spain: Poll by Target Point from 16.11.2023

Polling data

PP
36.8
+2.3
PSOE
29.6
-1.2
Sumar
11.9
+0.1
Vox
11.3
-0.6
Sonst.
10.4
-0.6
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+3.7
PSOE
-2.1
Sumar
-0.4
Vox
-1.1
Target Point – 1080 respondents – 13.11.2023-16.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 36% of election polls Target Point rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Target Point shows the following results: Partido Popular 36.8%, PSOE 29.6%, Sumar 11.9% and Vox 11.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 46.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Target Point. For this purpose, 1080 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (13.11.2023 - 16.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
46
PSOE
116
PP
144
Vox
44
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
260
Partido Popular + Vox
188
PSOE + Sumar
162

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Target Point. The survey took place between 13.11.2023 and 16.11.2023 among 1080 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 36.8%, PSOE 29.6%, Sumar 11.9% and Vox 11.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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