Spain: Poll by GESOP from 23.11.2023

Spain: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
35.2
+4.6
PSOE
27.3
-0.1
Vox
12.5
-2.5
Sumar
12.5
-1.9
ERC
2.0
+2.0
JxC
2.0
+2.0
Others
8.5
-4.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+2.1
PSOE
-4.4
Vox
+0.1
Sumar
+0.2
ERC
+0.1
JxC
+0.4
GESOP – 1002 respondents – 21.11.2023-23.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 59% of election polls GESOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 37% of election polls GESOP rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sumar higher

In 63% of election polls, GESOP rates Sumar higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 36% of election polls, GESOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from GESOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 35.2%, PSOE 27.3%, Vox 12.5%, Sumar 12.5%, ERC 2% and Junts per Catalunya 2%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GESOP. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (21.11.2023 - 23.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
50
14.3%
PSOE
109
31.1%
PP
141
40.3%
Vox
50
14.3%
Partido Popular + PSOE
71.4%
Partido Popular + Vox
54.6%
PSOE + Sumar
45.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by GESOP. The survey took place between 21.11.2023 and 23.11.2023 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 35.2%, PSOE 27.3%, Vox 12.5%, Sumar 12.5%, ERC 2% and Junts per Catalunya 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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