Spain: Poll by DYM from 15.12.2023

Polling data

PP
37.1
+0.2
PSOE
29.9
+0.9
Vox
11.0
-0.1
Sumar
8.8
-2.3
POD
2.3
+2.3
Others
10.9
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+4.0
PSOE
-1.8
Vox
-1.4
Sumar
-3.5
POD
New
DYM – 1011 respondents – 13.12.2023-15.12.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from DYM shows the following results: Partido Popular 37.1%, PSOE 29.9%, Vox 11%, Sumar 8.8% and Podemos 2.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. Sumar, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 44.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by DYM. For this purpose, 1011 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (13.12.2023 - 15.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
35
10.1%
PSOE
121
34.4%
PP
150
42.7%
Vox
44
12.7%
Partido Popular + PSOE
77.4%
Partido Popular + Vox
55.4%
PSOE + Sumar
44.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by DYM. The survey took place between 13.12.2023 and 15.12.2023 among 1011 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 37.1%, PSOE 29.9%, Vox 11%, Sumar 8.8% and Podemos 2.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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