Spain
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Spain: Poll by Simple Lógica from 09.01.2024

Polling data

PP
36.6
+1.1
PSOE
29.4
-0.2
Vox
11.4
-0.9
Sumar
10.7
-1.3
POD
2.4
+2.4
Sonst.
9.5
-1.1
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+3.5
PSOE
-2.3
Vox
-1.0
Sumar
-1.6
POD
New
Simple Lógica – 1013 respondents – 02.01.2024-09.01.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 56% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 31% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Simple Lógica shows the following results: Partido Popular 36.6%, PSOE 29.4%, Vox 11.4%, Sumar 10.7% and Podemos 2.4%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 45.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Simple Lógica. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (02.01.2024 - 09.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
42
PSOE
117
PP
146
Vox
45
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
263
Partido Popular + Vox
191
PSOE + Sumar
159

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Simple Lógica. The survey took place between 02.01.2024 and 09.01.2024 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 36.6%, PSOE 29.4%, Vox 11.4%, Sumar 10.7% and Podemos 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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