Spain: Poll by SocioMétrica from 09.02.2024

Polling data

PP
38.5
-0.2
PSOE
29.0
-0.2
Vox
10.8
-0.2
Sumar
10.5
-0.3
JxC
2.0
+0.2
Bildu
1.8
+0.1
PNV
1.1
+0.1
ERC
1.0
-0.1
BNG
0.7
+0.2
CC
0.2
±0.0
UPN
0.1
-0.1
Sonst.
4.3
+0.5
SocioMétrica – 2900 respondents – 05.02.2024-09.02.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from SocioMétrica shows the following results: Partido Popular 38.5%, PSOE 29%, Vox 10.8%, Sumar 10.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, EH Bildu 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.1%, ERC 1%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.2% and UPN 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 44.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SocioMétrica. For this purpose, 2900 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (05.02.2024 - 09.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
41
PSOE
115
PP
152
Vox
42
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
267
Partido Popular + Vox
194
PSOE + Sumar
156

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by SocioMétrica. The survey took place between 05.02.2024 and 09.02.2024 among 2900 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 38.5%, PSOE 29%, Vox 10.8%, Sumar 10.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, EH Bildu 1.8%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.1%, ERC 1%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.2% and UPN 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.