Spain: Poll by Simple Lógica from 09.02.2024

Spain: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
36.6
±0.0
PSOE
29.7
+0.3
Vox
12.0
+0.6
Sumar
11.1
+0.4
POD
2.3
-0.1
Others
8.3
-1.2
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+3.5
PSOE
-2.0
Vox
-0.4
Sumar
-1.2
POD
New
Simple Lógica – 1018 respondents – 02.02.2024-09.02.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 55% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 30% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from Simple Lógica shows the following results: Partido Popular 36.6%, PSOE 29.7%, Vox 12%, Sumar 11.1% and Podemos 2.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Simple Lógica. For this purpose, 1018 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (02.02.2024 - 09.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
43
12.3%
PSOE
116
33.1%
PP
144
41.1%
Vox
47
13.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
74.3%
Partido Popular + Vox
54.6%
PSOE + Sumar
45.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Simple Lógica. The survey took place between 02.02.2024 and 09.02.2024 among 1018 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 36.6%, PSOE 29.7%, Vox 12%, Sumar 11.1% and Podemos 2.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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