Spain
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Spain: Poll by CIS from 04.04.2024

Polling data

PP
33.5
-0.5
PSOE
32.5
+1.2
Vox
10.1
+0.2
Sumar
8.2
-1.0
POD
3.1
+0.9
ERC
1.4
-0.5
JxC
1.4
+0.2
PNV
1.0
+0.1
Bildu
0.9
-0.2
BNG
0.8
-0.1
CC
0.2
±0.0
UPN
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
6.8
-0.3
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+0.4
PSOE
+0.8
Vox
-2.3
Sumar
-4.1
POD
New
ERC
-0.5
JxC
-0.2
PNV
-0.1
Bildu
-0.5
BNG
+0.2
CC
-0.3
UPN
-0.1
CIS – 4032 respondents – 01.04.2024-04.04.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 78% of election polls CIS rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE higher

In 91% of election polls, CIS rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sumar higher

In 42% of election polls, CIS rates Sumar higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox lower

In 73% of election polls CIS rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from CIS shows the following results: Partido Popular 33.5%, PSOE 32.5%, Vox 10.1%, Sumar 8.2%, Podemos 3.1%, ERC 1.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, EH Bildu 0.9%, Galego 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.2% and UPN 0.1%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, PSOE might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.8 growth since the last election. Sumar, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 46.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CIS. For this purpose, 4032 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (01.04.2024 - 04.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
33
POD
12
PSOE
131
PP
134
Vox
40
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
265
PSOE + Sumar + Podemos
176
Partido Popular + Vox
174

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by CIS. The survey took place between 01.04.2024 and 04.04.2024 among 4032 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 33.5%, PSOE 32.5%, Vox 10.1%, Sumar 8.2%, Podemos 3.1%, ERC 1.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.4%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, EH Bildu 0.9%, Galego 0.8%, Coalición Canaria 0.2% and UPN 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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