Latest polls from OGM
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in OGM pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, OGM's average ranking is 2.6.
3x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
2x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5