Latest Opinion Poll for Styria (Brand Support, January 31, 2019)

January 31, 2019

400 respondents

Next General Election in Styria: 2029

The next General Election in Styria is expected in 2029.

Styria's Governing Coalition Retains Stable Majority

Based on the Brand Support projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 64.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Brand Support?

In the latest opinion poll for the Styrian election, conducted by Brand Support on January 31, 2019, ÖVP holds a lead with 34%. Trailing behind are FPÖ: 25%, SPÖ: 24%, GRÜNE: 7%, NEOS: 5% and KPÖ: 3%. Other parties secure 2% of the votes.

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Quality Check: How Reliable is the Brand Support Projection?

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PolitPro Score

Brand Support achieved a PolitPro Score of ? out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, Brand Support's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Brand Support at a Glance
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Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

48
Majority requires 25 seats

No Electoral Threshold

There is no electoral threshold for the Styrian state election.

ÖVP + FPÖ
Right
64.6%
ÖVP + SPÖ
Centre-Right
62.5%
FPÖ + SPÖ
Centre-Right
52.1%
ÖVP + GRÜNE + NEOS
Centre-Right
47.9%
ÖVP + GRÜNE
Centre-Right
43.8%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Brand Support)

According to Brand Support data, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Styria's parliament: ÖVP with 18 representatives, FPÖ with 13 representatives, SPÖ with 12 representatives, GRÜNE with 3 representatives and NEOS with 2 representatives.

The Electoral System in Styria

The Styrian Landtag, comprising 48 seats, conducts elections across four major constituencies: Graz and Surrounds, Eastern Styria, Western Styria, and Upper Styria. Designed for maximum transparency, the system allows voters to cast preferential votes at both constituency and provincial levels, directly influencing candidate rankings.

Electoral Thresholds

To secure representation in Styria, a party must either garner 5% of the provincial vote or win a basic mandate (Grundmandat) in one of the constituencies. This threshold has historically fueled tight races, with smaller parties frequently fighting for their place in the Landtag.

Government Formation and Traditions

Styria has moved past the traditional Proporzsystem, where government positions were allocated proportionally. Now, administrations are forged through free coalitions. The province is particularly recognized for its 'Styria Partnership,' an exceptionally close collaboration among major parties that transcends typical coalition frameworks to advance key reforms, including the municipal structural reform.

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Data Sources and Methodology

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