Latest Opinion Poll for Styria (IMAS, October 29, 2019)

October 16, 2019 - October 29, 2019

804 respondents

Next General election in Styria: 2029

The next General election in Styria is expected in 2029.

Styria's Governing Coalition Retains Stable Majority

Based on the IMAS projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 56.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from IMAS?

In the latest opinion poll for the Styrian election, conducted by IMAS on October 29, 2019, ÖVP holds a lead with 33%. Trailing behind are SPÖ: 25%, FPÖ: 21%, GRÜNE: 12%, NEOS: 5% and KPÖ: 4%.

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Quality Check: How Reliable is the IMAS Projection?

70

PolitPro Score

IMAS achieved a PolitPro Score of 70 out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, IMAS's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

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Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

48
Majority requires 25 seats

No Electoral Threshold

There is no electoral threshold for the Styrian state election.

ÖVP + SPÖ
Centre-Right
62.5%
ÖVP + FPÖ
Right
56.3%
ÖVP + GRÜNE + NEOS
Centre
52.1%
SPÖ + FPÖ
Centre-Right
47.9%
ÖVP + GRÜNE
Centre-Right
47.9%
SPÖ + GRÜNE + NEOS
Centre-Left
43.8%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: IMAS)

According to IMAS data, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Styria's parliament: ÖVP with 17 representatives, SPÖ with 13 representatives, FPÖ with 10 representatives, GRÜNE with 6 representatives and NEOS with 2 representatives.

The Electoral System in Styria

The Styrian Landtag, comprising 48 seats, conducts elections across four major constituencies: Graz and Surrounds, Eastern Styria, Western Styria, and Upper Styria. Designed for maximum transparency, the system allows voters to cast preferential votes at both constituency and provincial levels, directly influencing candidate rankings.

Electoral Thresholds

To secure representation in Styria, a party must either garner 5% of the provincial vote or win a basic mandate (Grundmandat) in one of the constituencies. This threshold has historically fueled tight races, with smaller parties frequently fighting for their place in the Landtag.

Government Formation and Traditions

Styria has moved past the traditional Proporzsystem, where government positions were allocated proportionally. Now, administrations are forged through free coalitions. The province is particularly recognized for its 'Styria Partnership,' an exceptionally close collaboration among major parties that transcends typical coalition frameworks to advance key reforms, including the municipal structural reform.

Coalition Calculator
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Data Sources and Methodology

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