Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Sweden
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Sweden conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterna 31%, Sverigedemokraterna 21%, Moderaterna 19%, Vänsterpartiet 9%, Centerpartiet 6%, Miljöpartiet 6%, Kristdemokraterna 3% and Liberalerna 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1647 people during the period 16.12.2024 - 16.12.2024. The survey was commissioned by Dagens Nyheter.
1647 participants
02.12.2024 - 16.12.2024
Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
Seats in parliament
349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
34
9.7%
S
118
33.8%
MP
23
6.6%
C
23
6.6%
M
72
20.6%
SD
79
22.6%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.8 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.8
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweden 2022 | 3/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.