Latest voting intention survey by Novus for Sweden
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Sweden conducted by Novus, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterna 34.9%, Sverigedemokraterna 22.6%, Moderaterna 18%, Vänsterpartiet 6.9%, Centerpartiet 5.4%, Miljöpartiet 4.4%, Kristdemokraterna 4% and Liberalerna 2.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2441 people during the period 19.10.2025 - 19.10.2025.
2441 participants
06.10.2025 - 19.10.2025
Novus
Seats in parliament
349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
25
7.2%
S
126
36.1%
MP
16
4.6%
C
20
5.7%
M
65
18.6%
KD
15
4.3%
SD
82
23.5%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
Socialdemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
88
PolitPro Score
Novus achieves a score of 88/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Novus pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.83
|
Parliamentary Election in Sweden 2022 | 4/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.