Latest voting intention survey by Sifo for Sweden
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Sweden conducted by Sifo, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterna 36.3%, Moderaterna 20%, Sverigedemokraterna 18.3%, Vänsterpartiet 8.2%, Centerpartiet 4.3%, Miljöpartiet 4.3%, Kristdemokraterna 4% and Liberalerna 2.8%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 5384 people during the period 11.05.2023 - 11.05.2023. The survey was commissioned by Svenska Dagbladet.
5384 participants
01.05.2023 - 11.05.2023
Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
S
36.3
-0.6
M
20.0
+0.4
SD
18.3
-0.5
V
8.2
+1.1
C
4.3
±0.0
MP
4.3
-0.2
KD
4.0
+0.2
L
2.8
-0.5
Others
1.8
+0.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
30
8.6%
S
132
37.8%
MP
16
4.6%
C
16
4.6%
M
73
20.9%
KD
15
4.3%
SD
67
19.2%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
Socialdemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
84
PolitPro Score
Sifo achieves a score of 84/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sifo pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.14
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweden 2022 | 5/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.