Sweden: Poll by Sentio from 19.07.2021

Polling data

SD
23.9
+2.0
S
23.6
-0.2
M
18.9
-2.1
V
10.8
+0.5
C
6.8
+0.5
KD
5.1
-1.0
MP
5.0
+0.7
L
4.1
-0.2
Others
1.8
-0.2
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
SD
+3.4
S
-6.7
M
-0.2
V
+4.0
C
+0.1
KD
-0.2
MP
-0.1
L
-0.5
Sentio – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 16.07.2021-19.07.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Sweden - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Sweden from Sentio shows the following results: Sverigedemokraterna 23.9%, Socialdemokraterna 23.6%, Moderaterna 18.9%, Vänsterpartiet 10.8%, Centerpartiet 6.8%, Kristdemokraterna 5.1%, Miljöpartiet 5% and Liberalerna 4.1%. If an election were held in Sweden this Sunday, Vänsterpartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. Socialdemokraterna, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ulf Kristersson is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna. With 28.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Sentio. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.07.2021 - 19.07.2021).

Coalition possibilities

349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
38
10.9%
S
84
24.1%
MP
18
5.2%
C
24
6.9%
L
15
4.3%
M
67
19.2%
KD
18
5.2%
SD
85
24.4%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Kristdemokraterna + Miljöpartiet
53.6%
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Kristdemokraterna + Liberalerna
53.0%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Kristdemokraterna + Liberalerna
52.7%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Miljöpartiet + Liberalerna
52.7%
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet
50.4%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet
50.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by Sentio. The poll took place between 16.07.2021 and 19.07.2021. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get Sverigedemokraterna 23.9%, Socialdemokraterna 23.6%, Moderaterna 18.9%, Vänsterpartiet 10.8%, Centerpartiet 6.8%, Kristdemokraterna 5.1%, Miljöpartiet 5% and Liberalerna 4.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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