Sweden
Election trend
Parties

Sweden: Poll by SCB from 25.11.2021

Polling data

S
29.1
+0.9
M
22.7
+0.3
SD
18.6
-0.3
V
9.2
+0.3
C
8.4
-1.1
KD
4.6
+0.1
MP
3.9
+0.1
L
2.5
±0.0
Sonst.
1.0
-0.3
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
S
-1.2
M
+3.6
SD
-1.9
V
+2.4
C
+1.7
KD
-0.7
MP
-1.2
L
-2.1
SCB – 9190 respondents – 28.10.2021-25.11.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates Socialdemokraterna higher
In 90% of election polls, SCB rates Socialdemokraterna higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sverigedemokraterna lower
In 30% of election polls SCB rates Sverigedemokraterna lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Sweden - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Sweden from SCB shows the following results: Socialdemokraterna 29.1%, Moderaterna 22.7%, Sverigedemokraterna 18.6%, Vänsterpartiet 9.2%, Centerpartiet 8.4%, Kristdemokraterna 4.6%, Miljöpartiet 3.9% and Liberalerna 2.5%. If an election were held in Sweden this Sunday, Moderaterna might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. Liberalerna, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ulf Kristersson is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna. With 29.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SCB. For this purpose, 9190 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 28 days (28.10.2021 - 25.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

349
V
35
S
110
C
32
M
85
KD
17
SD
70
Majority requires 175 seats
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
195
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Centerpartiet
187
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
177
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Kristdemokraterna
172

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by SCB. The survey took place between 28.10.2021 and 25.11.2021 among 9190 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterna 29.1%, Moderaterna 22.7%, Sverigedemokraterna 18.6%, Vänsterpartiet 9.2%, Centerpartiet 8.4%, Kristdemokraterna 4.6%, Miljöpartiet 3.9% and Liberalerna 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.