Sweden
Election trend
Parties

Sweden: Poll by SKOP from 04.09.2022

Polling data

S
30.0
-0.9
SD
18.8
±0.0
M
17.6
+1.4
MP
7.8
+1.2
C
7.5
-0.6
V
7.2
-0.9
KD
5.9
+0.8
L
4.8
-0.7
Sonst.
0.4
-0.3
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
S
-0.3
SD
-1.7
M
-1.5
MP
+2.7
C
+0.8
V
+0.4
KD
+0.6
L
+0.2
SKOP – 1154 respondents – 31.08.2022-04.09.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates Liberalerna higher
In 33% of election polls, SKOP rates Liberalerna higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Socialdemokraterna lower
In 39% of election polls SKOP rates Socialdemokraterna lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sverigedemokraterna lower
In 45% of election polls SKOP rates Sverigedemokraterna lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vänsterpartiet higher
In 33% of election polls, SKOP rates Vänsterpartiet higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Sweden - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Sweden from SKOP shows the following results: Socialdemokraterna 30%, Sverigedemokraterna 18.8%, Moderaterna 17.6%, Miljöpartiet 7.8%, Centerpartiet 7.5%, Vänsterpartiet 7.2%, Kristdemokraterna 5.9% and Liberalerna 4.8%. If an election were held in Sweden this Sunday, Miljöpartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.7 growth since the last election. Sverigedemokraterna, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ulf Kristersson is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna. With 28.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKOP. For this purpose, 1154 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (31.08.2022 - 04.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

349
V
25
S
105
MP
27
C
26
L
17
M
62
KD
21
SD
66
Majority requires 175 seats
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Miljöpartiet
194
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet
193
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Kristdemokraterna
188
Socialdemokraterna + Miljöpartiet + Centerpartiet + Vänsterpartiet
183
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna + Liberalerna
184
Socialdemokraterna + Miljöpartiet + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
179
Socialdemokraterna + Miljöpartiet + Centerpartiet + Liberalerna
175
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
175
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet + Liberalerna
171

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by SKOP. The survey took place between 31.08.2022 and 04.09.2022 among 1154 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterna 30%, Sverigedemokraterna 18.8%, Moderaterna 17.6%, Miljöpartiet 7.8%, Centerpartiet 7.5%, Vänsterpartiet 7.2%, Kristdemokraterna 5.9% and Liberalerna 4.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.