Sweden: Poll by Novus from 30.10.2022

Polling data

S
32.2
+1.1
M
20.2
+0.6
SD
19.4
-1.4
V
7.6
+0.4
C
5.9
+0.2
KD
4.7
-0.2
MP
4.5
-0.5
L
4.0
-0.1
Others
1.5
0.0
Novus – 3514 respondents – 03.10.2022-30.10.2022
No abnormalities
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
53.2
Socialdemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna + Miljöpartiet + Liberalerna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Liberalerna
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Kristdemokraterna + Liberalerna


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 29.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by Novus. The survey took place between 03.10.2022 and 30.10.2022 among 3514 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterna 32.2%, Moderaterna 20.2%, Sverigedemokraterna 19.4%, Vänsterpartiet 7.6%, Centerpartiet 5.9%, Kristdemokraterna 4.7%, Miljöpartiet 4.5% and Liberalerna 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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