Sweden: Poll by Ipsos from 18.11.2024

Polling data

S
34.0
+1.0
SD
21.0
+2.0
M
19.0
+1.0
V
8.0
±0.0
C
5.0
±0.0
MP
5.0
-1.0
KD
4.0
±0.0
L
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
S
+3.7
SD
+0.5
M
-0.1
V
+1.2
C
-1.7
MP
-0.1
KD
-1.3
L
-0.6
Ipsos – 1616 respondents – 05.11.2024-18.11.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Sweden - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Sweden from Ipsos shows the following results: Socialdemokraterna 34%, Sverigedemokraterna 21%, Moderaterna 19%, Vänsterpartiet 8%, Centerpartiet 5%, Miljöpartiet 5%, Kristdemokraterna 4% and Liberalerna 4%. If an election were held in Sweden this Sunday, Socialdemokraterna might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. Centerpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ulf Kristersson is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna. With 26.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1616 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (05.11.2024 - 18.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
28
8%
S
119
34.1%
MP
17
4.9%
C
17
4.9%
L
14
4%
M
66
18.9%
KD
14
4%
SD
74
21.2%
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
53.0%
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna + Liberalerna
53.0%
Socialdemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet + Kristdemokraterna + Liberalerna
51.9%
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet
51.9%
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet + Liberalerna
49.0%
Sverigedemokraterna + Moderaterna + Centerpartiet + Kristdemokraterna
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 05.11.2024 and 18.11.2024 among 1616 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterna 34%, Sverigedemokraterna 21%, Moderaterna 19%, Vänsterpartiet 8%, Centerpartiet 5%, Miljöpartiet 5%, Kristdemokraterna 4% and Liberalerna 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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