Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 11.07.2022

Polling data

Linke
24.0
±0.0
AfD
24.0
+2.0
CDU
20.0
±0.0
SPD
13.0
-3.0
Grüne
8.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
Linke
-7.0
AfD
+0.6
CDU
-1.8
SPD
+4.8
Grüne
+2.8
FDP
±0.0
INSA – 1019 respondents – 04.07.2022-11.07.2022
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 135.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: Die Linke 24%, AfD 24%, CDU 20%, SPD 13%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.8 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 47.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1019 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (04.07.2022 - 11.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
23
SPD
12
Grüne
7
FDP
5
CDU
19
AfD
22
Majority requires 45 seats
AfD + CDU + FDP
46
Die Linke + AfD
45
Die Linke + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
42

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 04.07.2022 and 11.07.2022 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Die Linke 24%, AfD 24%, CDU 20%, SPD 13%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.