Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
Wahlkreisprognose – 1008 respondents – 25.10.2022-31.10.2022
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Wahlkreisprognose rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 15.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 651.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 44.9% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 25.10.2022 and 31.10.2022 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 28%, Die Linke 24%, CDU 17.5%, SPD 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 6% and FDP 6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.