Thuringia
Election trend
Parties

Thuringia: Poll by INSA from 08.11.2022

Polling data

AfD
25.0
-1.0
Linke
23.0
±0.0
CDU
21.0
+1.0
SPD
11.0
±0.0
Grüne
7.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
BfTh
3.0
+3.0
Sonst.
5.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 27.10.2019
AfD
+1.6
Linke
-8.0
CDU
-0.8
SPD
+2.8
Grüne
+1.8
FDP
±0.0
BfTh
INSA – 1106 respondents – 04.11.2022-08.11.2022
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Thuringia will be held in 129.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the State election in Thüringen from INSA shows the following results: AfD 25%, Die Linke 23%, CDU 21%, SPD 11%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, FDP 5% and Bürger für Thüringen 3%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bodo Ramelow is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. With 44.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1106 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (04.11.2022 - 08.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
22
SPD
10
Grüne
7
FDP
5
CDU
20
AfD
24
Majority requires 45 seats
AfD + CDU + FDP
49
AfD + Die Linke
46
AfD + CDU
44

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 04.11.2022 and 08.11.2022 among 1106 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 25%, Die Linke 23%, CDU 21%, SPD 11%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, FDP 5% and Bürger für Thüringen 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.